Hezbollah’s secretary general could not hide what he tried to: that matters are not as they should be. In Bahrain, the Ivory Coast and Roumieh Prison, his affairs and those of the rest of the Lebanese are going badly. There are also other issues that especially concern those whom Hezbollah represents, although we should not forget their negative effects on all Lebanese.
The Syrian regime, being the bridge of communication between Iran and the Arab East, is today decidedly not in the best of conditions. Every Friday becomes a stage for mass anger fashioned by blood. Similarly, it appears that the upcoming Mikati cabinet is not about to be born, and that even if it is born – no matter how the agreement looks – it will not be able to live long. The majority was hastily formed through intimidation and terrorization, and these do not suffice to make it a governing body. As for the local allies, in light of indications from WikiLeaks, they do not seem like allies at all. Here too, it appears, there is a Brutus sharpening his knife.
All this, taken together, contains the elements of a dangerous crisis that could escalate into an existential ordeal that might annihilate Hezbollah – an ordeal in which arrogance about Resistance or escalation in the domestic political field will not avail. This ordeal coincides with resounding disappointment in the Arab revolutions, which it was thought would produce models resembling Syria or Iran. These revolutions have shaken one and threaten the other.
If we set aside arrogance, escalation and dependence on delusion, we can say that there is only one way out of this crisis on the verge of becoming an ordeal: working to birth real Lebanese consensuses. In the shade of weapons and the prioritization of foreign calculus in political work, there is no path to such consensus until the foreign actor is in crisis too.
Will Hezbollah take such a great step to save itself and the Lebanese nation, transforming into a political party that defends its opinion and politics through opinion and politics themselves? Will Hezbollah’s adversaries in exchange, instead of indulging in schadenfreude, make a great offer that could establish a historic compromise fortifying Lebanon at a time of extreme regional danger? The answer to both these questions is this: No. Are we not, at the end of the day, Lebanese?
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