FRI 29 - 3 - 2024
 
Date: Aug 23, 2011
Source: The Daily Star
Syrian opposition eyes Gadhafi downfall with hope, fear

By Mariam Karouny
REUTERS

BEIRUT: The downfall of Libyan leader Moammar Gadhafi is likely to pave the way for increased Western attention to Syria and embolden protests against President Bashar Assad. The implosion of Gadhafi’s rule after six months of civil war in which the rebels benefited from sanctions on Gadhafi, a no-fly zone and NATO airstrikes may have implications for Syria’s six-month-old revolt and Assad’s efforts to crush it.


“The international community will now think that its strong intervention in the struggle [in Syria] will resolve the situation,” said opposition figure Louay Hussein.
“Libya has raised the morale of the West and it will have a bigger excuse to intervene. But we reject any military action in Syria.”


Hussein and other opposition activists said however events in Tripoli would revive Syrian protesters’ hopes.
“What happened in Libya means a lot for us, it means that the Arab Spring is coming without doubt … there is no solution to any problem without the will of the people,” said Michel Kilo, a prominent opposition figure.


No country has proposed the kind of action in Syria which NATO forces have carried out in Libya. But the West has called on Assad to step down and Washington has imposed new sanctions over his crackdown.
Syria has an alliance with Iran and a key role in Lebanon. It also has influence in Iraq and supports Hamas, Islamic Jihad and Hezbollah.


Assad Sunday said Syria would not bow to external pressure, which he said could only affect “a president made in the United States and a subservient people who get their orders from outside.”
“As for the threat of a military action … any action against Syria will have greater consequences, greater than they can tolerate,” he said.


Assad has responded to the unrest with a mixture of reforms and force.
Analysts and opposition figures said they expected the situation in Syria to deteriorate further, with authorities intensifying the crackdown and protesters not backing down.
“After what happened in Libya I think he [Assad] will be tougher with the security option he is taking,” Boumonsef said.


“He sees what [he calls] the international conspiracy on him will be stronger and now that Gadhafi is out of the way it will move towards him in full strength … This is imminent.”
Some opposition figures expressed fears that Libya’s endgame might encourage voices among the opposition calling for the arming of a hitherto largely peaceful movement in Syria.


“I fear that some in the opposition who are in a hurry to end the regime, who we have always warned against repeating the Libyan example, will say now it has been successful and resort to arms,” said Hussein, who was detained during the uprising.
“But we will resist such proposals.”


The anti-Assad movement is fragmented. “Despite everything that is happening, the opposition remains stuck over little issues like personal issues between its leaders,” Kilo said.
Boumonsef said it would try harder, with international help, to unify. “The opposition will be motivated more. There is no return and [Assad’s] reforms will not stop anything. It is too late.”


Encouraged after Western leaders called on Assad to step down, Syrian opposition figures are holding talks in Istanbul to nominate a broad-based council that could aid in a transition of power if Assad is toppled.
Unlike previous opposition conferences, which were marked by divisions between Islamists and liberals, participants said there was broad agreement on 120 nominees for the council from inside and outside Syria.


The council would speak for dissidents in exile and activists on the ground, opposition figures told Reuters.
But some opposed the idea. “There is no interest inside Syria in a conference happening outside … those inside Syria believe that what is happening outside is marginal,” Kilo said. “We do not need a transitional council … the real challenge is … what should be done every day so that we remain standing.”



 
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