By George Weidenfeld
The gradual withdrawal of the United States from the Middle East puts increasing pressure on Europe to help foster peace in the region. With complex and heated wars threatening to bring about the collapse of states such as Syria and Iraq, and the long-simmering conflict between Israel and Palestine seemingly as far from resolution as ever, it is almost easier to ask what Europe should avoid doing than what it should do.The starting point must be a simple, fundamental principle: Europe should not take sides. Allowing preconceptions or emotional reactions to overshadow facts could make the situation much more dangerous.
Consider the sectarian struggle between Sunnis and Shiites – now the prime mover of events in the Middle East. Fueled by religious rhetoric and a bloody history, the conflict engenders a degree of passion and irrationality that is difficult to moderate. As has been said: “Where the fires of faith are burning, the goddess of reason tiptoes silently out of the room.”
Likewise, when it comes to the Israel- Palestine conflict, Europe must recognize that both sides are hypersensitive. If they are faced with criticism that they deem unfair, they will resort to the kind of truculence and bitterness that has long thwarted efforts to reach an agreement.
At least two-thirds of Israelis, recognizing the benefits that lasting peace would bring to the region, would prefer a two-state solution. But the same majority fears that the Palestinians – with the split leadership of a relatively moderate Fatah under Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas and a Gaza administration under the implacable leadership of Hamas – are not ready for a conventional peace and good neighborly relations.
Making matters worse, concessions on either side appear to leave no impression on the other. Instead, they are usually met with lethal provocations that push any agreement even further away.
Palestine’s response to Israel’s release in December of 26 political prisoners – the third batch from a total of 104 detainees that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu pledged to release when the peace talks were revived last summer – is a case in point. Many of the prisoners had committed heinous acts. For example, Juma Ibrahim Juma Adam and Mahmoud Salam Saliman Abu Karbish firebombed a civilian bus, killing a pregnant woman, three of her preschool-age children and the soldier who tried to save them. Yet Abbas received them upon their release, praising them as heroes of the Palestinian people and examples for youths.
In this fragile context, EU threats to halt business with Israeli companies present in the West Bank settlements are problematic, as are academic and scientific boycotts against Israel. Indeed, such moves would be dangerously close to favoring Palestine – a surefire way to turn Israel against cooperation.
Of course, given the role that the continual expansion of Israeli settlements in occupied Palestine has played in hampering progress toward peace, it merits a more thorough and sober examination by all relevant parties – especially Israel. This requires, first and foremost, an understanding of the issue’s scale. During previous rounds of negotiations, the Palestinian Authority agreed, in principle, to exchange up to 1.9 percent of West Bank land for Israeli territory.
This means that Israel would be able to annex some settlements adjacent to its border, while giving up only a small share of its land – an exchange to which it should be open when serious negotiations are underway. The good news is that Tzipi Livni, Israel’s main negotiator, recently stated that Israel would not claim isolated settlements on Arab land.
Through all of this, Europe must present itself as an unbiased mediator. If negotiators on both sides view it as a credible broker of a lasting and balanced agreement, they may be more receptive to each other’s concessions.
The same is true of religious conflicts throughout the Middle East. Instead of getting sucked into historical enmities and impassioned disputes, Europe must be resolved to fight implacably against all forms of jihadism, while consistently supporting progress toward conflict resolution.
This does not apply only to diplomats; the European media also have a critical role to play. New and traditional outlets alike must ensure that they portray the facts accurately and dispassionately to foster a constructive, fair-minded discussion. Those directly involved in the myriad conflicts do not need any help generating heat.
George Weidenfeld is founder and president of the Institute for Strategic Dialogue and co-founder of the Weidenfeld Scholarships and Leadership Program. THE DAILY STAR publishes this commentary in collaboration with Project Syndicate © (www.projectsyndicate.org).